World War 3 [WW3] between China and USA - Could it happen?
In geopolitics, the term Thucydides Trap refers to fear induced in an established power by a rising power which escalates toward a war.
The main actors are an ascendant China and a declining American regime.
Given China’s consistently benign behaviors and America’s aggressive and expansionist behaviors, I contend that if such a war were to happen, America would start it.
Proof for my views.
● Post WW2, after the defeat of Imperial Japan, China allowed Japanese occupiers and soldiers to go home unharmed. This is very rare.
● India started a War against China in 1962. China won and withdrew. This is very rare.
● Vietnam wanted to create an IndoChinese empire by annexing Laos and Cambodia, who requested China’s assistance, which was provided. After the war ended, China withdrew again.
● Founded their country with mass rape and genocide http://www.amazon.com/Pagans-Promised-Land-Christian-Discovery/dp/1555916422/
● Built it through slavery https://www.amazon.com/Half-Has-Never-Been-Told/dp/046500296X
● Overthrew numerous countries http://www.amazon.com/Overthrow-Americas-Century-Regime-Change/dp/0805082409/
● Committed genocide across the planet http://www.amazon.com/Killing-Hope-C-I-Interventions-II–Updated/dp/1567512526/
● Showed pure brutality towards civilians in its illegal wars based on lies http://www.amazon.com/Kill-Anything-That-Moves-American/dp/1250045061/
Drivers for War
● America is highly in debt, at last count, 20 trillion, excluding unfunded liabilities. It’s headed towards bankruptcy and the only thing keeping it afloat is the petrodollar scam.
● The petrodollar scam itself is under attack. More nations are tapping into clean renewable energy as the price of technology continues to fall. The East Asian nations have already begun talks about a super energy grid delivering renewable energy throughout East and South East Asia [possibly South Asia too]. With far less demand for oil, it doesn’t matter much that if oil is priced in USD.
● A RAND report claimed that the window of American military superiority is shrinking fast. Translation: If we have to fight, we need to fight now before China matches our capability.
● America is losing its competitive advantage in brains, technology, and trade. What gave America a huge edge in the past was its ability to brain drain the entire world after the devastating world wars, which advanced its technologies, and gave its corporations dominance in trade. Secretly transferring Nazi scientists also helped [http://www.amazon.com/Operation-Paperclip-Intelligence-Program-Scientists/dp/0316221031/]. The countries devastated by the world wars have since recovered/are recovering. The trajectory for USA is bleak and grows dimmer each day. An instructive example is the crushing defeat of GoPro Karma vs DJI’s Maverick. The former was plagued with complaints and even suffered fatal defects. The latter was showered with praise for its beautiful compact design, impressive battery life, advanced AI, and price - a home run. Today, DJI commands 70% of the world’s drone market. In industry after industry in the medium technology segment, this pattern has repeated. The push for Made BY China [not just assembled but designed] will continue that trend into the high tech arena, the last real bastion of American [by America, I mean Chinese and South Asian] dominance. TCL tvs, Huawei telecommunication equipment, and WeChat are just the beginning.
● White Christian racism. For the past 200+ years, Whites have controlled much of the world and have gotten used to this unnatural and illegitimate position to such an extent that they think it’s normal instead of the anomaly that it is. Prior to the disturbance of the world order, it was China, India, and the Middle East that led the world.
● White extreme jealousy and envy and fragility. Familicide is something that is nearly exclusively committed by white, non-hispanic, males. That is, they slaughter their entire family when things aren’t going well for them. Admittedly, it is rare, but it’s clearly a racial trait of white males. This may sound crazy but keep in mind, they think losing privileges = white genocide™. If that isn’t insane, I don’t know what is.
● Less obvious factors are opportunistic state actors who would incite war to weaken both parties. However, I find this unrealistic as the possibility of MAD would deter them.
Drivers against War
● Mutually Assured Destruction [MAD] with nuclear weapons.
● Protesters - Yes, protesters. Whites have consistently been fed lies/fake pretexts to invade countries, but they were almost always weak countries. Wars against Asians has largely been painful for them - Philippines, Japan, Korea, Vietnam - and this time it’s a technological near-peer China. I doubt they want to see their kids come back in body bags especially if they can’t handle sandal-wearing insurgents in the Middle East. This will be an extremely hard war to sell regardless of what lies American leaders tell.
● Trade: especially Westerners with investments in China. They won’t want their investments blown up.
● Governments who rely on trade with China eg Australia. I think one of the big reasons for China’s global engagement in trade is not just economic, but geopolitical. Such dependency upon China, makes her indispensable. Without a word, these countries will loudly protest any action that could kill the goose that lays the golden eggs.
If America learns to stfu, China will rise peacefully, and probably improve lives around the world. Doubters can look at the One Belt One Road, AIIB, and mutually beneficial development already taking place in Africa. One African put it this way, “China has done more for us in the past 10 years than Whites have in the past century”.
If America goes full “Christian salvation”, they will do so against the rest of the world’s objections and leave humanity with a nuclear holocaust that will make their genocide against the First Nations look like a picnic. Most of us will be dead. Any survivors will have to wait out 10 years of nuclear winter to rebuild.